Essay Date 2025-02-22 Version 1.0 Edition First web edition

Is Trump Seriously Asking for Ukraine’s Mineral Rights — Or Is This Just a Distraction?

(They might actually make a deal)

Photo by Glib Albovsky on Unsplash

The U.S.-Russia peace talks in Riyadh signaled a shift toward de-escalation in Ukraine and a broader realignment of U.S. strategy toward the pacific.

So why, in the middle of peace talks, is Trump suddenly pushing for control of Ukraine’s mineral wealth?

If peace is the goal, why is Washington demanding resource access? Would securing these minerals prolong the war — or deter Russian aggression?

Trump’s position seems contradictory.

On February 19, he called the war “unwinnable,” accused Zelenskyy of mismanaging U.S. funds, and questioned continued support.

If Ukraine is a lost cause, why pursue its most valuable resources?

This could be an attempt at pitching a legitimate economic partnership, or it could be another attention grabbing “deal” like his proposal to purchase Greenland.

The Greenland Playbook: A Pattern of Resource-Driven Deals

Photo by Visit Greenland on Unsplash

Trump has long pursued resource-rich territory in the name of “economic security.”

In 2019, he proposed buying Greenland, arguing it was crucial for U.S. independence from China’s rare earth dominance.

The idea was dismissed, but Trump revived it in his second term, with Republicans introducing bills like the Make Greenland Great Again Act.

Denmark flatly refused, and 85% of Greenlanders oppose the idea.

Greenland can afford to say no.

Ukraine, desperate for security and economic survival, may have no choice but to say yes.

Why Ukraine’s Minerals Matter to the U.S.

Photo by Pedro Henrique Santos on Unsplash

Ukraine holds some of Europe’s richest deposits of rare earth elements (REE), lithium, titanium, and graphite — critical for EV batteries, military tech, and renewable energy. But much of this global supply is controlled by China, leaving the U.S. searching for alternatives.

For the U.S., Ukraine’s untapped reserves aren’t just valuable — they’re a geopolitical necessity.

But Ukraine is at war, and many deposits are in Russian-occupied areas.

Would a U.S. deal prolong the conflict — or might it actually deter future Russian aggression?

If American contractors begin mining in Ukraine, any Russian attack risks direct U.S. involvement — something Moscow probably wants to avoid.

U.S. investment in Ukraine could deepen America’s long-term security commitments.

If framed correctly, a U.S.-Ukraine minerals agreement could serve as both an economic windfall and a deterrent against Russian aggression.

Trump’s Own Words: Does He Even Want to Protect Ukraine?

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While the presence of U.S. mining operations could strengthen Ukraine’s security, Trump’s own statements raise doubts about whether he would actually commit to this kind of protection.

His February 19th tweet suggests:

  • Ukraine is a lost cause: He claims the war “couldn’t be won” and was unnecessary from the start.
  • U.S. aid has been wasted: He accuses Ukraine of mismanaging American funds, implying that future aid should be limited.
  • Zelenskyy is an unreliable partner: He paints the Ukrainian president as corrupt and politically weak.
  • Only Trump can negotiate peace: He suggests that a settlement is within reach — one that Biden and Europe have failed to achieve. So what is Trump really saying?

If Ukraine is beyond saving, then it makes no sense to stake America’s economic future on its resources.

This could be a sign that the U.S. is more committed to Ukraine’s future than he claims.

Trump is a Master Manipulator

Photo by Julius Drost on Unsplash

Imagine this:

America gains a controlling interest in Ukrainian rare earth metals, and Ukraine secures military support from Trump’s administration.

Aggressive posturing and bombastic statements aside, this sounds like a pretty good deal.

Trump will not continue to support the war unless he can claim a political victory with clear (and visible) benefits.

He points out that while European countries have contributed to the war effort, they have secured debt and the U.S. has nothing.

He says America cannot continue to give away hundreds of billions of dollars with no tangible return.

Based on the administrations recent rhetoric regarding Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders, any deal will likely legitimize Russia’s territorial gains.

If claims of friendship between Trump and Putin are to be believed, they could potentially negotiate peace terms that end the war tomorrow.

His rhetorical rampage against Zelenskyy may have been a ploy to improve his bargaining position.

A Deal That Could Ease Tensions Between Trump and Zelensky

Photo by Afif Ramdhasuma on Unsplash

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent presented a mineral rights deal to Zelensky last week in Kyiv.

Zelensky and his team rejected the proposal outright, saying they had been given only a few hours to review it. They insisted that any deal must include explicit security guarantees for Ukraine.

The rejection set off a public feud.

But this week, signs of a breakthrough emerged.

Trump’s Ukraine envoy, retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, met with Zelensky in Kyiv on Thursday.

According to sources familiar with the talks, Kellogg played a key role in restoring trust between the two sides over three days of negotiations.

After their meeting, Zelensky struck a more optimistic tone, calling the negotiations “a step forward” and instructing his team to finalize the deal swiftly.

“This is an agreement that can strengthen our relations, and the key is to work out the details to ensure its effectiveness.” — Volodymyr Zelensky, February 21, 2025Trump, for his part, sounded confident that a deal was within reach. “I think they want it. They feel good about it,” he told reporters Friday.

The agreement, which could be signed as early as Saturday, would mark a major shift in U.S.-Ukraine relations.

While the full terms remain unclear, sources say Ukraine is offering access to its mineral wealth in exchange for continued U.S. support.

Zelensky’s administration actually floated this strategy last year, hoping that granting the U.S. a stake in Ukraine’s resources would entice Trump to continue military aid.

Trump, who has repeatedly criticized U.S. support for Ukraine, has long argued that America should be getting something in return.

If finalized, the mineral rights deal wouldn’t just secure U.S. access to Ukraine’s resources — it could tie Washington’s hands, forcing long-term U.S. engagement whether Trump admits it or not.

Conclusion: A Test of America’s Intentions

Photo by benjamin lehman on Unsplash

Trump’s push for Ukraine’s minerals echoes his Greenland plan, but this time, the stakes aren’t just economic — they’re geopolitical.

Unlike Greenland, Ukraine may actually benefit.

If this is a real partnership, the U.S. must guarantee Ukraine’s security. Otherwise, it risks looking like a transactional deal — one where America profits while Ukraine remains vulnerable.

If U.S. contractors begin mining, Washington will have no choice but to remain engaged.

Either Trump is preparing to keep America in Ukraine — or he is setting the stage for a deal where the U.S. extracts wealth while leaving Ukraine exposed.

So, is Trump setting the stage to protect Ukraine’s future — or just to strip it for parts? You tell me.

About the Author

Lawton is an economist specializing in coastal resilience, economic policy, and market trends. He writes in-depth essays on the American economy, society, and history, blending data-driven analysis with historical context. His work explores topics ranging from trade policy and inflation to labor markets and financial systems.

When he’s not crunching numbers, he writes fiction, plays music, and hangs out with his lil cat named Boudin.

Follow his latest essays on Medium: https://medium.com/@lawtonperret

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114031332924234939

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